Here we go again.  In preparation for my inclusion in the next round at Tom O’Neil’s www.goldderby.com, here are my early predictions. I’ve seen Rabbit Hole since my last set, but still haven’t seen The Fighter, True Grit and The Way Home.

BEST PICTURE

1. “Black Swan”
2. “The King’s Speech”
3. “127 Hours”
4. “Inception”
5. “The Social Network”
6. “The Kids Are All Right”
7. “Toy Story 3″
8. “True Grit”
9. “The Fighter”
10. “Winter’s Bone”

BEST LEAD ACTOR

1. Colin Firth, “The King’s Speech”
2. Michael Douglas, “Solitary Man”
3. James Franco, “127 Hours”
4. Ryan Gosling, “Blue Valentine”
5. Jeff Bridges, “True Grit”

BEST LEAD ACTRESS

1. Natalie Portman, “Black Swan”
2. Annette Bening, “The Kids Are All Right”
3. Sally Hawkins, “Made in Dagenham”
4. Leslie Manville, “Another Year”
5. Jennifer Lawrence, “Winter’s Bone

BEST SUPPORTING ACTOR

1. Christian Bale, “The Fighter”
2. Geoffrey Rush, “The King’s Speech”
3. Mark Ruffalo, “The Kids Are All Right”
4. Vincent Cassel, “Black Swan”
5. Sam Rockwell, “Conviction”

BEST SUPPORTING ACTRESS

1. Melissa Leo, “The Fighter”
2. Helena Bonham Carter, “The King’s Speech”
3. Miranda Richardson, “Made in Dagenham”
4. Dianne Wiest “Rabbit Hole”
5. Hailee Steinfeld, “True Grit”

BEST DIRECTOR

1. Darren Aronofsky
2. Tom Hooper
3. David Fincher
4. Lisa Cholodenko
5. David O. Russell