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Sneak Peak: 2nd Oscar predix of the season

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Black Swan, Natalie Portman, Best Actress, Best Picture, Oscars, Vincent CasselHere we go again.  In preparation for my inclusion in the next round at Tom O’Neil’s www.goldderby.com, here are my early predictions. I’ve seen Rabbit Hole since my last set, but still haven’t seen The Fighter, True Grit and The Way Home.

BEST PICTURE

  1. “Black Swan”
  2. “The King’s Speech”
  3. “127 Hours”
  4. “Inception”
  5. “The Social Network”
  6. “The Kids Are All Right”
  7. “Toy Story 3″
  8. “True Grit”
  9. “The Fighter”
  10. “Winter’s Bone”

BEST LEAD ACTOR

  1. Colin Firth, “The King’s Speech”
  2. Michael Douglas, “Solitary Man”
  3. James Franco, “127 Hours”
  4. Ryan Gosling, “Blue Valentine”
  5. Jeff Bridges, “True Grit”

BEST LEAD ACTRESS

  1. Natalie Portman, “Black Swan”
  2. Annette Bening, “The Kids Are All Right”
  3. Sally Hawkins, “Made in Dagenham”
  4. Leslie Manville, “Another Year”
  5. Jennifer Lawrence, “Winter’s Bone

BEST SUPPORTING ACTOR

  1. Christian Bale, “The Fighter”
  2. Geoffrey Rush, “The King’s Speech”
  3. Mark Ruffalo, “The Kids Are All Right”
  4. Vincent Cassel, “Black Swan”
  5. Sam Rockwell, “Conviction”

BEST SUPPORTING ACTRESS

  1. Melissa Leo, “The Fighter”
  2. Helena Bonham Carter, “The King’s Speech”
  3. Miranda Richardson, “Made in Dagenham”
  4. Dianne Wiest “Rabbit Hole”
  5. Hailee Steinfeld, “True Grit”

BEST DIRECTOR

  1. Darren Aronofsky
  2. Tom Hooper
  3. David Fincher
  4. Lisa Cholodenko
  5. David O. Russell

Sneak Peak: 1st Oscar predix of the season

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This week, I’m joining Tom O’Neil in his relaunch of Goldderby.com under the auspices of the LA Times on November 4th. I was there at the beginning when Tom first approached me during an Oscar panel to come aboard the newborn Goldderby.com and I returned an emphatic “yes!” And I’m happy to be part of his current crew — even if he is a bit of a diva!

Here, then, are my early predictions in the top five categories. I’ve seen a majority of the movies in contention, but not all (The Fighter, Rabbit Hole, True Grit still to come). Please come back when I link to Tom’s site later in the week, and you can see how my predix align with my esteemed colleagues.

BEST PICTURE

  1. “Black Swan”
  2. “The King’s Speech”
  3. “The Social Network”
  4. “Inception”
  5. “Made in Dagenham”
  6. “The Kids Are All Right”
  7. “127 Hours “
  8. “Toy Story 3”
  9. “True Grit”
  10. “Winter’s Bone”

BEST LEAD ACTOR

  1. Colin Firth, “The King’s Speech”
  2. Michael Douglas, “Solitary Man”
  3. James Franco, “127 Hours”
  4. Ryan Gosling, “Blue Valentine”
  5. Leonardo DiCaprio, “Inception”

BEST LEAD ACTRESS

  1. Natalie Portman, “Black Swan”
  2. Annette Bening, “The Kids Are All Right”
  3. Sally Hawkins, “Made in Dagenham”
  4. Nicole Kidman, “Rabbit Hole”
  5. Jennifer Lawrence, “Winter’s Bone

BEST SUPPORTING ACTOR

  1. Christian Bale, “The Fighter”
  2. Geoffrey Rush, “The King’s Speech”
  3. Matt Damon, “True Grit”
  4. Mark Ruffalo, “The Kids Are All Right”
  5. Sam Rockwell, “Conviction”

BEST SUPPORTING ACTRESS

  1. Melissa Leo, “The Fighter”
  2. Miranda Richardson, “Made in Dagenham”
  3. Helena Bonham Carter, “The King’s Speech”
  4. Dianne Wiest “Rabbit Hole”
  5. Hailee Steinfeld, “True Grit”